By Chad Huebener
The market is cooling in West Savage, both in terms of active listings and sales. Total listings are down to just 13 – sitting at about 43% of the typical supply. This is amazingly low. 15% of these active properties are short sales or foreclosures. Fortunately this number is far below the metro market average of about 50%.
Even more noteworthy, for the month of October, the most fascinating statistic lies in The Pointe neighborhood – a neighborhood of 242 homes which, for most of the month, had only one home on the market. There are now two active listings in The Pointe, and 50% fall into the short sale/foreclosure category.
The absence of For Sale signs has become an interesting trend. 31% of West Savage inventory, including 100% of the inventory in The Pointe, Hamilton Hills, and Hamilton Hylands, have no yard signs. One property in Hamilton Hills has been converted into a rental, but remains on the market with no sign. Residents should be aware that some homes with For Sale signs are no longer active on the market, but the signs remain posted.
What to watch for: It will be interesting to observe the effect of the new $6,500 Tax Credit for existing homeowners. The tax credit applies to those who have lived in their homes for at least five years and will purchase a new primary residence, with a binding Purchase Agreement secured by April 30, 2010, closing no later than June 30, 2010. We predict we might see an early spring. In real estate terms, this means we think sellers will enter the market (and buyers begin looking for homes) sooner rather than later, in order to get their Purchase Agreements solidified before the tax credit expires.
Inventory is down for Savage as a whole and Scott County. This is typical of this time of year, and we expect to see this remain steady through the winter.
Our West Savage absorption rate is 4.5%. That means if zero new homes come on the market, it will take 4.5 months to sell our existing inventory. This is a nice, low absorption rate!